Friday, July 22, 2016

CABO HURRICANE WATCH - HEADING FOR CABO THIS WEEKEND?



It's 'bout time.

AUG. 28 NOAA SAT. IMAGE
The past few months around the Pacific have been a bit slow, to say the very least. Sure, there’s been a few great moments, but when compared to the start of summer and that brilliant winter brought by El NiƱo, things have been pretty terrible around Southern California and Hawaii. But that all may soon change, as there appears to be some relief on the horizon.
Over the past few days, forecasters have been tracking a pair of westward-spinning hurricanes that are currently looking favorable to bring surf to the Hawaiian Islands and Southern California.
According to the National Weather Service, Madeline, centered 695 miles east of Hilo and 890 miles east-southeast of Honolulu, strengthened to a Category 2 hurricane and is packing maximum sustained winds of 100 mph. Forecasters expect Madeline to continue to strengthen today and Tuesday until slightly weakening Wednesday.
Meanwhile, in the East Pacific, Hurricane Lester, centered 1,290 miles west of Baja California, also strengthened slightly, with maximum sustained winds of 125 mph.
So what does this all mean in terms of surf?
According to Surfline, Lester will bring a fun-sized southerly tropical swell on Monday before fading through the mid week. Madeline, on the other hand, will not bring much swell to California, but she’s looking to produce strong east swell for Hawaii.
Although Lester and Madeline aren’t the strongest of systems, they are something. Plus, we should be taking anything we can get at this point. So wax ’em up, folks! It’s surfin’ time!


NOAA / GOES WEST
                                In this composite satellite image taken this morning. Tropical Storm Darby (far left) can be seen in the Central Pacific. Tropical Storm Estelle is east of Darby; Tropical Depression Eight-E is southeast of Estelle; and Tropical Storm Frank is near Mexico.

NOAA/SAT  7/22


Looks like we may need to batten the hatches and tie down our plastic pool furniture so it doesn't get blown back to China where it came from. 

Cabo and the rest of Baja may be in for lots of rain and possible not one but possibly two hurricanes this coming weekend in July.  

In the above satellite image taken this morning. Tropical Storm Darby (far left off Baja) can be seen in the Central Pacific. Tropical Storm Estelle is east of Darby; Tropical Depression Eight-E is southeast of Estelle; and Tropical Storm Frank is near Mexico.

Two more tropical cyclones formed in the East Pacific this morning adding to the train of storms, including Tropical Storm Darby, that are churning across the east and central Pacific Ocean.

Tropical Storm Frank, the sixth named storm of the season, formed near Mexico this morning.

Frank had sustained winds of 50 mph as it moved northwest at 17 mph, about 210 miles south of Manzanillo, Mexico at 5 p.m.


MORE

>> Forecasters: Darby has potential to bring 10 to 15 inches of rain this weekend
>> What you need to know to prepare for a storm

Frank appears to be headed up the coast of Mexico and will likely reach hurricane status this weekend. It could bring strong winds, rain and waves to Baja California.

Southwest of Frank, Tropical Depression Eight-E, the eighth tropical cyclone of the season, formed south-southwest of Baja California. The storm had winds of 35 mph about 850 miles south-southwest of Baja California. The storm, moving west-northwest at 13 mph, is expected to become Tropical Storm Georgette tonight or Friday.

The storm, heading west-northwest, could briefly reach hurricane status this weekend before weakening over cooler waters early next week.

At 5 p.m., Estelle was slowly weakening, with sustained winds of 45 mph, about 1,350 miles west of Baja California. Estelle was moving west-northwest at 16 mph and is expected to weaken into a post-tropical cyclone by the weekend.

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